Howard (DC)
W-L: ( 3-13) PR = 67.7652Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A George Washington Atlantic 10 ( 9- 8, 79.9) 7-22 210 A VCU Atlantic 10 (13- 5, 83.2) 3-18 214 A La Salle Atlantic 10 ( 3-14, 71.6) 6-16 222 H American Patriot ( 4-12, 78.8) 5-16 301 H Radford Big South ( 4-14, 71.3) 11-10 304 A Columbia Ivy League ( 7- 8, 83.4) 6-23 310 A George Mason Atlantic 10 ( 6-10, 76.0) 6-15 314 A LIU Northeast (10- 7, 74.9) 7-15 321 H Le Moyne Northeast (14- 4, 77.0) 12-14 325 A Delaware State Northeast ( 0-17, 59.7) 13- 3 328 H Fairleigh Dickinson Northeast (10- 8, 72.4) 7- 8 404 A Central Connecticut Northeast ( 1-14, 63.2) 10- 9 408 A New Haven Northeast ( 5- 9, 70.1) 9-11 411 H Mercyhurst Northeast ( 3-11, 67.2) 7-12 418 H Wagner Northeast ( 6- 9, 74.0) 5-13 425 H Stonehill Northeast (13- 7, 78.5) 5-13
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A George Washington 7-22 -15 -14 -0.49
210 A VCU 3-18 -15 -17 0.00
214 A La Salle 6-16 -10 -5 -- -4.77
222 H American 5-16 -11 -10 -1.30
301 H Radford 11-10 1 -2 + 3.20
304 A Columbia 6-23 -17 -17 0.00
310 A George Mason 6-15 -9 -10 0.58
314 A LIU 7-15 -8 -9 0.52
321 H Le Moyne 12-14 -2 -8 ++ 5.91
325 A Delaware State 13- 3 10 7 + 3.33
328 H Fairleigh Dickinson 7- 8 -1 -3 + 2.27
404 A Central Connecticut 10- 9 1 3 - -2.18
408 A New Haven 9-11 -2 -4 1.69
411 H Mercyhurst 7-12 -5 2 --- -6.96
418 H Wagner 5-13 -8 -5 - -3.18
425 H Stonehill 5-13 -8 -9 1.37
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 411 H Mercyhurst 7-12 -5 2 --- -6.96 214 A La Salle 6-16 -10 -5 -- -4.77 404 A Central Connecticut 10- 9 1 3 - -2.18 418 H Wagner 5-13 -8 -5 - -3.18 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 H Le Moyne 12-14 -2 -8 ++ 5.91 301 H Radford 11-10 1 -2 + 3.20 325 A Delaware State 13- 3 10 7 + 3.33 328 H Fairleigh Dickinson 7- 8 -1 -3 + 2.27 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A George Washing ( 9- 8, 79.9) 7-22 -19.99 20.17 1.37 1.08 -10.08
3 A VCU (13- 5, 83.2) 3-18 -16.70 23.47 1.37 1.08 -8.30
3 A La Salle ( 3-14, 71.6) 6-16 -28.27 11.90 1.37 1.08 -14.56
3 H American ( 4-12, 78.8) 5-16 -21.06 19.11 -1.37 1.08 -12.14
3 H Radford ( 4-14, 71.3) 11-10 -28.57 11.60 -1.37 1.08 22.16
3 A Columbia ( 7- 8, 83.4) 6-23 -16.51 23.66 1.37 1.08 -8.20
3 A George Mason ( 6-10, 76.0) 6-15 -23.93 16.24 1.37 1.08 -12.21
3 A LIU (10- 7, 74.9) 7-15 -24.98 15.19 1.37 1.08 -12.78
3 H Le Moyne (14- 4, 77.0) 12-14 -22.86 17.31 -1.37 1.08 -13.11
3 A Delaware State ( 0-17, 59.7) 13- 3 -40.17 1.00 1.37 1.08 5.13
3 H Fairleigh Dick (10- 8, 72.4) 7- 8 -27.50 12.67 -1.37 1.08 -15.63
3 A Central Connec ( 1-14, 63.2) 10- 9 -36.68 3.49 1.37 1.08 10.51
3 A New Haven ( 5- 9, 70.1) 9-11 -29.81 10.35 1.37 1.08 -15.40
3 H Mercyhurst ( 3-11, 67.2) 7-12 -32.73 7.44 -1.37 1.08 -18.46
3 H Wagner ( 6- 9, 74.0) 5-13 -25.95 14.22 -1.37 1.08 -14.79
3 H Stonehill (13- 7, 78.5) 5-13 -21.40 18.77 -1.37 1.08 -12.32
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-130.19
|
winning pts = 37.7983 losing points = -167.9886
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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